Tennis Picks and Predictions for Day 4 of the 2025 Australian Open
The 2025 Australian Open is heating up with some exciting matches, and the best is yet to come. Top ATP players are in Melbourne for the first major of the season, and Day 4 is packed with must-watch matches. Here are my top picks for the men’s matches on Tuesday, January 14th and Wednesday, January 15th for US viewers. Players like Carlos Alcaraz, Alexander Zverev, and Novak Djokovic will be in action, making it a day you won’t want to miss. I also have two women’s tennis best bets for those interested.
For updates on matches and additional picks, make sure to check back to this page regularly or visit our Picks page. Gill Alexander, known for his tennis handicapping on A Numbers Game, also shares his picks on the Picks page.
Record for 2025: 41-33 (+5.33 units)
Jakub Mensik vs. Casper Ruud
Mensik has a good chance of beating Ruud in the second round, despite the rankings suggesting otherwise. Mensik’s dominant performance against Basilashvili and his powerful game make him a formidable opponent for Ruud. Mensik’s aggressive playstyle and ability to dictate points give him an edge in this matchup.
Bet: Mensik ML (+120)
Jacob Fearnley vs. Arthur Cazaux
Fearnley showcased his potential with a strong win over Kyrgios and faces Cazaux in the second round. Cazaux’s fitness is questionable after a long first-round match, while Fearnley has been consistent in his recent matches. Fearnley’s confidence and winning record make him a favorite for this match.
Bet: Fearnley ML (-120 – 1.5 units)
Jordan Thompson vs. Nuno Borges
Borges, coming off a good run of form, is poised to continue his success against Thompson. Borges’ baseline game and mental composure give him an advantage over Thompson, who might struggle under pressure. Borges is a strong competitor and can handle big moments.
Bet: Borges ML (+125) & Borges -1.5 Sets (+200 – 0.5 units)
Pedro Martinez vs. Alexander Zverev
Zverev is expected to win comfortably, but the Over 28.5 total offers value in this match. Martinez’s baseline game and Zverev’s returning performance suggest a close match with potential for extra sets. Martinez’s pressure on Zverev could lead to a longer match.
Bet: Over 28.5 (-115)
Added Plays
Tommy Paul -1.5 Sets (-143 – 1.5 units) vs. Kei Nishikori [Australian Open] – Paul has the edge over Nishikori in their upcoming match, with Paul’s fitness and athleticism giving him an advantage in a physical battle between baseliners. Keep an eye on the Pro Picks page for more updates on additional plays.
For more tennis betting insights, check out:
- VSiN Tennis Betting Splits
- Tennis Odds
- Gill Alexander’s Beating The Book Podcast